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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Dortmund logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Dortmund

FT(HT: 0-0)
Bynoe-Gittens (67'), Brandt (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 0-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, February 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-3 Borussia Dortmund

Only Schalke and Bochum have conceded more goals than Werder so far this season, but there is little doubt that Werner's side possess a potent threat in attack. As such, we can envisage a highly-entertaining encounter at Weserstadion, with Dortmund potentially coming out on top to win their fifth consecutive league game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBorussia Dortmund
15.83% (0.382 0.38) 17.64% (0.284 0.28) 66.52% (-0.663 -0.66)
Both teams to score 62.48% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (-0.628 -0.63)29.84% (0.63 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49% (-0.764 -0.76)51% (0.765 0.77)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (0.025000000000006 0.03)31.8% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.76% (0.027000000000001 0.03)68.24% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.62% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)8.38% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.84% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)29.16% (0.759 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 15.83%
    Borussia Dortmund 66.52%
    Draw 17.64%
Werder BremenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.34% (0.097 0.1)
1-0 @ 3.05% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.75% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.66% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 15.83%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.165 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.042 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.67% (0.095 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.64%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.19% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.76% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 6.77% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.14 0.14)
1-4 @ 4.81% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 4.44% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.2% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-4 @ 2.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-5 @ 2.38% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-5 @ 2.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-5 @ 1.37% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-6 @ 0.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 66.52%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Dortmund

Werder Bremen
10.9%
Draw
2.2%
Borussia Dortmund
87.0%
46
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-3
Werder Bremen
Brandt (45+2'), Guerreiro (77')
Modeste (39'), Can (42'), Wolf (83'), Reus (90+1')
Buchanan (89'), Schmidt (90+3'), Burke (90+5')
Fullkrug (29')
Apr 18, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
4-1
Werder Bremen
Reyna (29'), Braut Haaland (34' pen., 38'), Hummels (87')
Dahoud (48')
Rashica (14')
Friedl (60'), Veljkovic (66'), Gross (77'), Moisander (85')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-2
Dortmund
Mohwald (28')
Gross (54'), Woltemade (87'), Schmid (90+2')
Guerreiro (12'), Reus (78')
Reus (35'), Witsel (60')
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Werder Bremen
3-2
Dortmund
Selke (16'), Bittencourt (30'), Rashica (70')
Bittencourt (23'), Moisander (85')
Braut Haaland (67'), Reyna (78')
Schulz (49'), Reus (64'), Reyna (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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