MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 17:13:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Bayern logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Bayern

Schmidt (87')
Pieper (20'), Friedl (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gnabry (62'), Sane (72')
Cancelo (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-3 Bayern Munich

While Werder will be keen to make one final push to secure their Bundesliga status, Bayern are hoping to build on last weekend's victory and end the season strongly as they bid to fend off competition from Dortmund for the title. Considering the visitors' exceptional record against the hosts, we can see Tuchel's men outscoring their opponents and extending their lead at the summit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
15.9% (0.052000000000001 0.05) 17.3% (0.117 0.12) 66.79% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 64.06% (-0.37 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.03% (-0.501 -0.5)27.96% (0.491 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.3% (-0.623 -0.62)48.7% (0.613 0.61)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)30.49% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.328 -0.33)66.71% (0.31699999999999 0.32)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.16% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)7.83% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.21% (-0.42400000000001 -0.42)27.78% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 15.9%
    Bayern Munich 66.79%
    Draw 17.3%
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.29% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 2.84% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
2-0 @ 1.68% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 15.9%
1-1 @ 7.22% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.39% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 17.3%
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.75% (0.103 0.1)
0-3 @ 6.58% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.13 0.13)
1-4 @ 4.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.64% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 4.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-5 @ 2.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-5 @ 2.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.5% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-6 @ 1.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-6 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 66.79%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Bayern

Werder Bremen
21.7%
Draw
16.7%
Bayern Munich
61.7%
60
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 14
Bayern
6-1
Werder Bremen
Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
Jung (10')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
1-3
Bayern
Fullkrug (86')
Sargent (70')
Goretzka (22'), Gnabry (35'), Lewandowski (67')
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 8
Bayern
1-1
Werder Bremen
Coman (62')
Pavard (15')
Eggestein (45')
Bittencourt (32'), Augustinsson (43'), Kohfeldt (80'), Pavlenka (90+4')
Jun 16, 2020 7.30pm
Dec 14, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!