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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Bayern
2 - 0
Hertha Berlin

Gnabry (69'), Coman (79')
Goretzka (25'), Cancelo (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-4 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 4-0 Hertha Berlin

 We can envisage Bayern coming out with a major point to prove after their recent disappointments in all three competitions that they were fighting to win, as they desperately aim to avoid ending the season trophyless and move back to the top of the table. Hertha's upcoming home fixtures against Stuttgart and Bochum will largely dictate whether they manage to pull themselves out of relegation trouble or not, but we expect them to edge closer to demotion with a heavy defeat on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.72%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 6.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
82.72% (0.88500000000001 0.89) 10.85% (-0.321 -0.32) 6.43% (-0.559 -0.56)
Both teams to score 54.51% (-2.137 -2.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.66% (-0.80499999999999 -0.8)23.34% (0.811 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.28% (-1.091 -1.09)42.72% (1.097 1.1)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.89% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)4.11% (0.018 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.77% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)17.23% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.84% (-2.218 -2.22)43.16% (2.222 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.58% (-1.923 -1.92)79.42% (1.928 1.93)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.72%
    Hertha Berlin 6.43%
    Draw 10.85%
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
3-0 @ 9.61% (0.497 0.5)
2-0 @ 9.03% (0.478 0.48)
3-1 @ 8.08% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
4-0 @ 7.67% (0.387 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
4-1 @ 6.45% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.66% (0.307 0.31)
5-0 @ 4.9% (0.241 0.24)
5-1 @ 4.12% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.242 -0.24)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.197 -0.2)
6-0 @ 2.61% (0.125 0.13)
6-1 @ 2.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.73% (-0.128 -0.13)
7-0 @ 1.19% (0.056 0.06)
7-1 @ 1% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-2 @ 0.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 82.72%
1-1 @ 4.76% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-0 @ 1.77% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 10.85%
1-2 @ 2% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-1 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 6.43%

How you voted: Bayern vs Hertha Berlin

Bayern Munich
94.1%
Draw
2.0%
Hertha Berlin
3.9%
51
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 13
Hertha Berlin
2-3
Bayern
Lukebakio (40'), Selke (45' pen.)
Musiala (12'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (37', 38')
Jan 23, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 20
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Bayern
Ekkelenkamp (80')
Serdar (70')
Tolisso (25'), Muller (45'), Sane (75'), Gnabry (79')
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 3
Bayern
5-0
Hertha Berlin
Muller (6'), Lewandowski (35', 70', 84'), Musiala (49')
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
gameweek 20
Hertha Berlin
0-1
Bayern

Darida (41'), Khedira (90+2')
Coman (21')
Pavard (31')
Oct 4, 2020 5pm
gameweek 3
Bayern
4-3
Hertha Berlin
Lewandowski (40', 51', 85', 90+3' pen.)
Hernandez (58'), Gnabry (85'), Lewandowski (90+4')
Cordoba (59'), Cunha (71'), Ngankam (88')
Cordoba (13'), Piatek (84'), Mittelstadt (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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