Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Union Berlin2 - 1Werder Bremen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin
Friday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Werder Bremen
Union Berlin and Werder Bremen will both view Saturday's fixture as a winnable game, and while there is little to separate these two out-of-form teams, we believe that Bremen have the edge in the final third and that should get them over the line this time around. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
50.76% ( 0.02) | 24.18% ( 0.02) | 25.05% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.46% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
