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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Union Berlin logo

Bayern
4 - 0
Union Berlin

Coman (16'), Kouassi (25'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen., 47')
Musiala (51'), Kouassi (74')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Baumgartl (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

Last Six:
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Union Berlin

Last Six:
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Union Berlin

 Union Berlin have caused problems for Bayern Munich countless times in previous meetings, and we expect the visitors to get on the scoresheet this weekend. However, the hosts will be fired up in a bid to turn their fortunes around and their elite attackers possess all the qualities required to outscore their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.78%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 5.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 4-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.24%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
82.78%11.26%5.95%
Both teams to score 48.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.74%28.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.92%49.07%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.01%4.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.06%19.93%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.25%48.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.22%83.77%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.78%
    Union Berlin 5.95%
    Draw 11.26%
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
3-0 @ 10.93%
2-0 @ 10.93%
4-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 7.86%
2-1 @ 7.86%
1-0 @ 7.29%
4-1 @ 5.89%
5-0 @ 4.92%
5-1 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.82%
6-0 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 2.12%
6-1 @ 1.77%
5-2 @ 1.27%
7-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 82.78%
1-1 @ 5.24%
2-2 @ 2.82%
0-0 @ 2.43%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 11.26%
1-2 @ 1.88%
0-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 5.95%

How you voted: Bayern vs Union Berlin

Bayern Munich
86.8%
Draw
10.5%
Union Berlin
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-5
Bayern
Giesselmann (43'), Ryerson (65')
Jaeckel (15')
Lewandowski (15' pen., 23'), Sane (35'), Coman (61'), Muller (79')
Sule (30')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
1-1
Union Berlin
Musiala (68')
Sarr (76'), Kouassi (83')
Ingvartsen (86')
Dec 12, 2020 5.30pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Bayern
Promel (4')
Knoche (45'), Promel (72'), Becker (79')
Lewandowski (67')
Davies (30'), Gnabry (37')
May 17, 2020 5pm
Union Berlin
0-2
Bayern
Oct 26, 2019 2.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Union Berlin
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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