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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Spezia Calcio logo

Juventus
2 - 0
Spezia

Vlahovic (9'), Milik (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bastoni (11'), Holm (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Roma
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Spezia

Though their squad feels particularly thin due to injuries, Juventus can continue their supremacy in this match-up of Serie A royalty with provincial hopefuls. It may not be pretty to watch, but the hosts have enough individual quality to decide the game in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 11.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawSpezia
69.99% (-0.244 -0.24) 18.22% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 11.78% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 48.26% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.5% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)42.5% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)64.9% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.04% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)10.96% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.81% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)35.18% (0.159 0.16)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.2% (0.231 0.23)45.8% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (0.181 0.18)81.56% (-0.18400000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 69.98%
    Spezia 11.78%
    Draw 18.22%
JuventusDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 12.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 69.98%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 18.22%
0-1 @ 3.92% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.38% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 11.78%

How you voted: Juventus vs Spezia

Juventus
Draw
Spezia
Juventus
89.1%
Draw
9.2%
Spezia
1.7%
119
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 5pm
Juventus
1-0
Spezia
Morata (21')
Vlahovic (57'), Pellegrini (61'), Bernardeschi (68')

Erlic (54'), Motta (59'), Bourabia (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 5.30pm
Spezia
2-3
Juventus
Gyasi (33'), Antiste (49')
Nikolaou (85'), N'Zola (90+4')
Kean (28'), Chiesa (66'), De Ligt (72')
Morata (90+2')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
3-0
Spezia
Morata (62'), Chiesa (71'), Ronaldo (89')
Frabotta (10'), Demiral (90')
Nov 1, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Juventus
Pobega (32')
Chabot (49'), Bartolomei (75'), Estevez (87')
Morata (14'), Ronaldo (59', 76'), Rabiot (67')
Rabiot (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan30207367283967
2Napoli30197447242364
3Atalanta BCAtalanta30177663293458
4Bologna301511450341656
5Juventus301413346281855
6Roma30157845301552
7Lazio3015785142952
8Fiorentina30156947301751
9AC Milan30138945351047
10Udinese30117123641-540
11Torino3091293535039
12Genoa30811112838-1035
13Como3079143647-1130
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3093182958-2930
15CagliariCagliari3078153144-1329
16Parma30511143549-1426
17Lecce3067172149-2825
18Empoli30411152447-2323
19VeneziaVenezia30311162343-2020
20Monza3029192452-2815


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