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Champions League
Maribor
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 6, 2022 at 7.15pm UK
Ljudski vrt

Maribor
0 - 0
Soligorsk


Kronaveter (81'), Repas (84')
FT

Feijao (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Maribor and Shakhtyor Soligorsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Maribor 0-1 Hammarby
Thursday, July 29 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Shakhtyor Soligorsk

Last Six:
Last Game: Soligorsk 0-1 Torpedo-BelAZ
Saturday, June 25 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

We said: Maribor 2-1 Shakhtyor Soligorsk

 Shakhtyor have already tasted competitive action this summer, which could certainly work in their favour against a Maribor side who flattered to deceive in the pre-season period. The hosts' European pedigree certainly outweighs that of Tashuev's side, who have been far from perfect in the 2022 Belarusian top flight so far, and we have faith in Maribor to travel to Soligorsk with a slender lead in tow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
MariborDrawShakhtyor Soligorsk
48.06% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 24.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)48.97% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (-0.02 -0.02)71.05% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)20.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)52.84% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.92% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 48.06%
    Shakhtyor Soligorsk 27%
    Draw 24.94%
MariborDrawShakhtyor Soligorsk
1-0 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 48.06%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 27%

How you voted: Maribor vs Soligorsk

Maribor
66.7%
Draw
24.4%
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
8.9%
45
rhs 2.0
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