MX23RW : Monday, May 6 14:12:06| >> :120:18424:18424:
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Champions League
Newcastle logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Dortmund logo

Newcastle
0 - 1
Dortmund


Guimaraes (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nmecha (45')
Wolf (35')

The Match

Match Report

Felix Nmecha scores the only goal of the match as Borussia Dortmund beat Newcastle United 1-0 in the Champions League at St James' Park

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Newcastle United and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Werder Bremen
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBorussia Dortmund
42.63% (-0.242 -0.24) 23.1% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 34.27% (0.196 0.2)
Both teams to score 64.33% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.08% (-0.169 -0.17)36.92% (0.165 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.9% (-0.183 -0.18)59.1% (0.18 0.18)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)17.82% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.43% (-0.294 -0.29)48.56% (0.289 0.29)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (0.024000000000001 0.02)21.71% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (0.038000000000004 0.04)54.88% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 42.63%
    Borussia Dortmund 34.27%
    Draw 23.1%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.68% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 42.63%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.96% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 34.27%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Dortmund

Newcastle United
75.4%
Draw
15.8%
Borussia Dortmund
8.8%
284
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516
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