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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Werder Bremen logo

Dortmund
1 - 0
Werder Bremen

Brandt (67')
Nmecha (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bittencourt (61'), Stage (75'), Veljkovic (83'), Deman (90+4'), Ducksch (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Werder Bremen

 Werder Bremen continue to leak goals on a regular basis under Werner's tutelage, and that looks unlikely to change against one of Germany's strongest sides, especially with Stark and Pieper both likely to miss out through injury for the visitors. After coming through Werder Bremen's youth system before returning to enjoy four hugely successful years with the club, Fullkrug may be emotionally conflicted ahead of this fixture, but we still expect him to help fire Dortmund to a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
69.18% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 16.48% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 14.34% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 63.25% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.74% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)27.26% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.18% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)47.81% (0.073 0.07)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.81% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)7.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.1% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (-0.101 -0.1)31.85% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (-0.115 -0.12)68.29% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 69.18%
    Werder Bremen 14.34%
    Draw 16.48%
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.96% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.03% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.58% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 3% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.76%
5-0 @ 2.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
6-1 @ 1.21%
4-3 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 69.18%
1-1 @ 6.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 16.48%
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 14.34%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund
84.9%
Draw
10.8%
Werder Bremen
4.3%
93
Head to Head
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> Preview
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> Preview
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Dahoud (48')
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> Preview
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
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Mohwald (28')
Gross (54'), Woltemade (87'), Schmid (90+2')
Guerreiro (12'), Reus (78')
Reus (35'), Witsel (60')
> Preview
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Werder Bremen
0-2
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Zagadou (52'), Braut Haaland (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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