Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Imtech Arena
Shakhtar1 - 3Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-0 Obolon
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Porto
Friday, September 15 at 7.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, September 15 at 7.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Porto
This is a really difficult match to call, especially as both sides have been in strong form this season. A draw would not be the worst result in the world for either team, and we are backing the points to be shared in Tuesday's Group H clash. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Porto |
21.19% ( -0.1) | 22.5% ( -0.01) | 56.3% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
