MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 04:00:13| >> :120:26621:26621:
Royal Antwerp
Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bosuilstadion
AEK Athens

Antwerp
1 - 0
AEK Athens

Janssen (16')
De Laet (67'), Butez (90+2')
Bataille (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Szymanski (25'), Pineda (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Royal Antwerp and AEK Athens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leuven 1-1 Antwerp
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: AEK Athens 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Champions League

We said: Royal Antwerp 1-0 AEK Athens

Emotions may still be running high for AEK Athens in the wake of Saturday's extraordinary progression, but Almeyda's men should still offer a stern test to an Antwerp team who have not completely covered themselves in glory in recent weeks. Fatigue from a long journey to Belgium should eventually catch up to AEK, though, and Antwerp are seldom outfought on their own patch, so we can envisage the Belgian champions travelling to Athens with a slender lead to protect. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Royal Antwerp in this match.

Result
Royal AntwerpDrawAEK Athens
41.51% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 26.46% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 32.02% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (0.027999999999999 0.03)52.83% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (0.023 0.02)74.45% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Royal Antwerp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (0.0019999999999953 0)25.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (0.034000000000006 0.03)30.74% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (0.039000000000001 0.04)67% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Royal Antwerp 41.5%
    AEK Athens 32.02%
    Draw 26.46%
Royal AntwerpDrawAEK Athens
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.02%

How you voted: Antwerp vs AEK Athens

Royal Antwerp
55.0%
Draw
15.0%
AEK Athens
30.0%
20
rhs 2.0
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