MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 08:47:01| >> :600:1320160:1320160:
Birmingham logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round Replays
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Blackburn


Chong (90+3'), James (120+2')
FT
(aet)
Trusty (100' og.)
Buckley (98'), Brereton Diaz (107'), Travis (114')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Birmingham City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers (after extra time)

With Birmingham having finally ended their dismal run against second-tier opposition, they will be confident of progressing through to the fifth round. However, Blackburn have history of bouncing back from disappointing results, and we feel that they could edge this contest, potentially after extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
35.51% (0.371 0.37) 27.32% (-0.226 -0.23) 37.17% (-0.145 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.88% (0.729 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34% (0.898 0.9)55.65% (-0.897 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (0.728 0.73)76.81% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.67999999999999 0.68)29.88% (-0.68 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.815 0.82)65.97% (-0.815 -0.81)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (0.351 0.35)28.86% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (0.433 0.43)64.73% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 35.5%
    Blackburn Rovers 37.17%
    Draw 27.31%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.5%
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.71% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.17%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Blackburn

Birmingham City
29.2%
Draw
26.4%
Blackburn Rovers
44.3%
106
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Blackburn
2-2
Birmingham
Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80'), Brereton Diaz (86')
Khadra (3')
Chong (40')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Everton236892328-526
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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