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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Blackburn

Dozzell (77')
Laird (64'), Dembele (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garrett (49'), Hyam (52'), Tronstad (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Blackburn Rovers

Birmingham will be happy to be back at St Andrew's following three-straight losses on the road, and Blues should be able to end their barren spell in front of the net. Eustace will be desperate to get one over his former club on Tuesday night, but we believe that Blackburn will have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
41.62% (-0.239 -0.24) 24.15% (0.073 0.07) 34.22% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 60.39% (-0.219 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (-0.307 -0.31)42.06% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-0.308 -0.31)64.47% (0.31 0.31)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61% (-0.238 -0.24)20.39% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.18% (-0.38 -0.38)52.81% (0.382 0.38)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)24.14% (0.049000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)58.45% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 41.62%
    Blackburn Rovers 34.22%
    Draw 24.15%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 7% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.22%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Blackburn

Birmingham City
41.3%
Draw
32.6%
Blackburn Rovers
26.1%
92
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Blackburn
4-2
Birmingham
Szmodics (47', 52'), Hill (59'), Leonard (90+2')
Tronstad (31'), Travis (33'), Wharton (80'), Leonard (87')
Dembele (63', 78')
Aiwu (28'), Bielik (35')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Fourth Round Replays
Birmingham
0-1
Blackburn
Trusty (100' og.)
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Blackburn
2-1
Birmingham
Gallagher (17'), Wharton (42')
Hogan (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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