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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
41.62% ( -0.24) | 24.15% ( 0.07) | 34.22% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 60.39% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.93% ( -0.31) | 42.06% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.53% ( -0.31) | 64.47% ( 0.31) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.61% ( -0.24) | 20.39% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.18% ( -0.38) | 52.81% ( 0.38) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.86% ( -0.05) | 24.14% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.55% ( -0.07) | 58.45% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 41.62% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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