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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
37.47% ( -0.63) | 23.35% ( 0.02) | 39.18% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 63.98% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.39% ( -0.14) | 37.61% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.15% ( -0.14) | 59.84% ( 0.15) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.58% ( -0.36) | 20.41% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.15% ( -0.58) | 52.85% ( 0.58) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.39% ( 0.22) | 19.61% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.44% ( 0.36) | 51.55% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.03% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.27% Total : 39.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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