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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Swansea
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Lowe (59')
Tymon (62'), Paterson (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Greenwood (43'), Silvera (78')
Howson (64'), Jones (67'), Latte Lath (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Hull City
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Swansea have the momentum heading into this contest and their supporters will expect another strong result. However, Boro have reached a point under Carrick where they need another winning run, and that extra determination may see them get back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
37.47% (-0.629 -0.63) 23.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 39.18% (0.607 0.61)
Both teams to score 63.98% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (-0.136 -0.14)37.61% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.15% (-0.145 -0.14)59.84% (0.145 0.15)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (-0.36 -0.36)20.41% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (-0.57599999999999 -0.58)52.85% (0.575 0.58)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (0.221 0.22)19.61% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44% (0.358 0.36)51.55% (-0.359 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 37.47%
    Middlesbrough 39.18%
    Draw 23.34%
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 10.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.58% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.64% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.078 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 39.18%

How you voted: Swansea vs Middlesbrough

Swansea City
27.3%
Draw
31.8%
Middlesbrough
40.9%
22
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swansea
1-3
Middlesbrough
Piroe (15')
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swansea
1-1
Middlesbrough
Obafemi (48')
Wolf (84'), Christie (87')
McGree (46')
Bamba (82')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
1-0
Swansea
Jones (26')
McNair (70')

Paterson (45')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Swansea
2-1
Middlesbrough
Ayew (40', 90+7' pen.)
Manning (64'), Guehi (71')
Morsy (90+1')
Bolasie (39'), Saville (47'), Morsy (87'), Howson (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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