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Championship | Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Swansea logo

Birmingham
2 - 2
Swansea

Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Deeney (15'), Bacuna (53'), Sanderson (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Manning (15'), Wood (48'), Darling (51'), Fulton (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Wigan
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Swansea City

All things considered, both teams should be pushing hard for all three points after a mixed start to the campaign. However, they will each see the value in a draw, and a low-scoring affair appears to be the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
31.39% (-1.193 -1.19) 26.3% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 42.3% (1.174 1.17)
Both teams to score 52.12% (-0.47300000000001 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61% (-0.412 -0.41)52.38% (0.404 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.93% (-0.356 -0.36)74.06% (0.349 0.35)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-1.016 -1.02)30.94% (1.008 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-1.206 -1.21)67.24% (1.198 1.2)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (0.41499999999999 0.41)24.52% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (0.583 0.58)58.98% (-0.591 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 31.39%
    Swansea City 42.3%
    Draw 26.3%
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.39%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.5% (0.297 0.3)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.181 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.3%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Swansea

Birmingham City
57.4%
Draw
19.4%
Swansea City
23.3%
129
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Watford30125134042-241
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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