Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.