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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Leicester logo

Bristol City
1 - 0
Leicester

Mehmeti (73')
Wells (82'), Sykes (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 0-2 Leicester City

Both Manning and Maresca ought to have welcomed the international break with open arms amid their side's respective on-field struggles, but two weeks may not be enough to solve the Robins' attacking crisis at home. Now squaring up to the division's best-performing away team - and one that were highly unfortunate to lose in the way that they did versus Chelsea - Good Friday should not end in a good way for the hosts as Leicester return to winning ways, and to the top of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawLeicester City
34.4% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 25.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 39.63% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.1% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)50.24% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.8% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)72.19% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)27.92% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (-0.052 -0.05)63.54% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)24.94% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)59.58% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 34.4%
    Leicester City 39.63%
    Draw 25.96%
Bristol CityDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.4%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 39.63%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Leicester

Bristol City
14.2%
Draw
13.4%
Leicester City
72.4%
127
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Leicester
1-0
Bristol City
Vardy (67' pen.)
Faes (62')

Williams (51'), Knight (53')
Mar 6, 2012 7.45pm
Bristol City
3-2
Leicester
Pitman (54'), Stead (79')
Stead (11'), McAllister (82')
Danns (77'), Dyer (41')
Wellens (9')
Aug 17, 2011 7.45pm
Leicester
1-2
Bristol City
Nugent (56')
Fernandes (23'), Bamba (45'), Gallagher (76')
Maynard (5', 66')
Skuse (43'), Wilson (45'), Nyatanga (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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