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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 10, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Swansea logo

Bristol City
1 - 0
Swansea

Dickie (73')
Sykes (71'), Wells (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tymon (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Swansea
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Swansea City

Despite their mid-table status, there may be some nerves on show at Ashton Gate as each team looks to move further clear of the bottom three. However, given the competitive nature when these two teams meet, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
38.89% (0.16500000000001 0.17) 26.01% (0.289 0.29) 35.1% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-1.034 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.68% (-1.301 -1.3)50.32% (1.306 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (-1.165 -1.17)72.26% (1.17 1.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.504 -0.5)25.37% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.698 -0.7)60.17% (0.70200000000001 0.7)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47% (-0.886 -0.89)27.53% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (-1.16 -1.16)63.04% (1.165 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 38.89%
    Swansea City 35.1%
    Draw 26%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.361 0.36)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.361 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 9.01% (0.249 0.25)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.1%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Swansea

Bristol City
30.8%
Draw
38.5%
Swansea City
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cullen (10')
Naughton (45+2'), Ginnelly (57'), Paterson (90')
Sykes (48'), Bell (59')
Naismith (45+3'), Dickie (86')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Bristol City
Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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