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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Cardiff


King (48'), Gardner-Hickman (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ng (66')
Etete (15'), Wilson-Esbrand (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Cardiff City

Despite some unacceptable results since the turn of the calendar year, Bristol City have shown the ability to rise to the big occasion at Ashton Gate, and we feel that the Robins could repeat the trick on Saturday. Cardiff's win over struggling Stoke last time out was much needed, but we believe it does not signal a long-term change in fortunes for the Bluebirds during the remainder of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
44.13% (-0.11 -0.11) 25.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 29.92% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.54% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.48% (0.010999999999996 0.01)51.52% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.32% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)23.25% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.067 -0.07)57.16% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (0.076999999999998 0.08)31.54% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (0.090999999999998 0.09)67.93% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 44.12%
    Cardiff City 29.92%
    Draw 25.95%
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.8% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.12%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 29.92%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Cardiff

Bristol City
64.3%
Draw
14.3%
Cardiff City
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
2-0
Bristol City
Ng (33'), Colwill (90+1')
Meite (54')

Dickie (9'), Mehmeti (45')
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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