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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Cardiff


King (48'), Gardner-Hickman (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ng (66')
Etete (15'), Wilson-Esbrand (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Cardiff City

Despite some unacceptable results since the turn of the calendar year, Bristol City have shown the ability to rise to the big occasion at Ashton Gate, and we feel that the Robins could repeat the trick on Saturday. Cardiff's win over struggling Stoke last time out was much needed, but we believe it does not signal a long-term change in fortunes for the Bluebirds during the remainder of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
44.13% (-0.11 -0.11) 25.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 29.92% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.54% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.48% (0.010999999999996 0.01)51.52% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.32% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)23.25% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.067 -0.07)57.16% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (0.076999999999998 0.08)31.54% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (0.090999999999998 0.09)67.93% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 44.12%
    Cardiff City 29.92%
    Draw 25.95%
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.8% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.12%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 29.92%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Cardiff

Bristol City
64.3%
Draw
14.3%
Cardiff City
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
2-0
Bristol City
Ng (33'), Colwill (90+1')
Meite (54')

Dickie (9'), Mehmeti (45')
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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