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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Middlesbrough logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Roberts (37')
Mejbri (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dijksteel (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough

Burnley will be full of confidence after winning each of their last four matches, while they also boast an unbeaten record at Turf Moor this season. With that in mind, the Clarets will be targeting all three points in Friday's contest, but we think that they may have to settle for a point when they face a Middlesbrough side that will be in high spirits after winning four of their previous five matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawMiddlesbrough
31.45% (1.955 1.96) 24.91% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 43.64% (-1.929 -1.93)
Both teams to score 56.71% (1.123 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (1.003 1)46.44% (-1.002 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (0.936 0.94)68.72% (-0.935 -0.94)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (1.827 1.83)27.93% (-1.825 -1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (2.27 2.27)63.55% (-2.269 -2.27)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (-0.446 -0.45)21.31% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (-0.697 -0.7)54.26% (0.699 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 31.45%
    Middlesbrough 43.64%
    Draw 24.91%
BurnleyDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.59% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.337 0.34)
2-0 @ 4.84% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.197 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.216 0.22)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.45%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.185 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.527 -0.53)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.511 -0.51)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.055 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.64%

How you voted: Burnley vs Middlesbrough

Burnley
63.9%
Draw
23.0%
Middlesbrough
13.1%
122
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-2
Burnley
Akpom (48' pen.)
Barnes (12'), Roberts (66')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Burnley
3-1
Middlesbrough
Benson (60', 67'), Howson (72' og.)
Watmore (49')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Burnley
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gray (80')
Boyd (21'), Mee (42'), Flanagan (54'), Ward (66'), Gray (73'), Hendrick (85')

de Roon (2'), Ramirez (31'), Barragan (45'), Da Silva (80'), Negredo (90')
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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