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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.79%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 28.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bournemouth in this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Bournemouth |
28.04% | 28.17% | 43.79% |
Both teams to score 45.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.44% | 60.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.34% | 80.66% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.21% | 37.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.43% | 74.56% |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.5% | 27.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37% | 63% |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.04% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 13.41% 0-2 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-3 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.2% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.79% Total : 43.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
> Championship Full Table |