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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Swansea City |
41.17% ( -0.51) | 26.16% ( -0.03) | 32.66% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 53.02% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.57% ( 0.27) | 51.43% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.76% ( 0.24) | 73.24% ( -0.24) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.32% ( -0.14) | 24.68% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.79% ( -0.2) | 59.2% ( 0.2) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.39% ( 0.5) | 29.61% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% ( 0.6) | 65.65% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.17% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 55 |
3 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 41 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 34 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 32 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Millwall | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 27 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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