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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Swansea logo

Cardiff
3 - 0
Swansea

Robinson (47', 51'), Goutas (67')
Ralls (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Grimes (45+5'), Cullen (81'), Bianchini (88'), Cabango (90'), Bianchini (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Swansea City

The freshest legs at the Cardiff City Stadium will no doubt belong to the visitors, but Williams could be working around a diminished defence yet again, and his side are hardly pulling up trees on the road. As was the case in September, we can envisage another closely-contested derby ending all square, as the Bluebirds remarkably play out their fourth 1-1 Championship draw in succession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
41.17% (-0.509 -0.51) 26.16% (-0.032 -0.03) 32.66% (0.542 0.54)
Both teams to score 53.02% (0.275 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (0.274 0.27)51.43% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (0.239 0.24)73.24% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.139 -0.14)24.68% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)59.2% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.49600000000001 0.5)29.61% (-0.495 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.598 0.6)65.65% (-0.59599999999999 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 41.17%
    Swansea City 32.66%
    Draw 26.16%
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.89% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.094 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.66%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Swansea

Cardiff City
51.4%
Draw
24.3%
Swansea City
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Swansea
1-1
Cardiff
Cullen (10')
Allen (90+6'), Ng (90+10')
Robinson (79')
Darling (90+10'), Colwill (90+11')
Bulut (91')
Mar 16, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cullen (34'), Lowe (90+6')
Darling (17'), Allen (21')

Meite (17')
Sep 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Cardiff
2-0
Swansea
Tanner (71'), Ramsey (86' pen.)
Tanner (81')

Fulton (57')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cardiff
2-3
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (35'), Kaba (83')
Piroe (3'), Cullen (33'), Cabango (90+9')
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cooper (38'), Obafemi (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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