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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Luton Town

Coventry
3 - 2
Luton

Simms (59'), Torp (76'), Wright (90+2')
Kitching (13'), Sheaf (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Morris (15' pen.), Adebayo (37')
Doughty (17'), Morris (18'), McGuinness (22'), Holmes (54')
Holmes (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Coventry
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Sunderland
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-1 Luton Town

Following a frustrating share of the point at Loftus Road, Coventry will be looking to take advantage of a winnable home fixture on Saturday ahead of trips to Sunderland and Middlesbrough over the next few weeks. The Hatters were unfortunate to lose to the Black Cats last time out and should be good enough to earn a point in the East Midlands this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
51.79% (-0.262 -0.26) 23.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 24.78% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 56.67% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (0.20099999999999 0.2)44.2% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.42% (0.195 0.2)66.58% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)17.1% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)47.3% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (0.31699999999999 0.32)31.64% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (0.365 0.36)68.05% (-0.369 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 51.79%
    Luton Town 24.78%
    Draw 23.42%
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 51.79%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 24.78%

How you voted: Coventry vs Luton

Coventry City
28.2%
Draw
33.3%
Luton Town
38.5%
39
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 4.45pm
Coventry
1-1
Luton
(Aggregate 1-1 | Luton win 6-5 on penalties)
Hamer (66')
McNally (46')
Clark (23')
Clark (99')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Coventry
1-1
Luton
Godden (45+1' pen.)
Lockyer (1')
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Luton
2-2
Coventry
Morris (4', 15')
Gyokeres (11'), Hamer (61')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Coventry
0-1
Luton

Allen (34'), Clarke-Salter (45+1'), McFadzean (87')
Adebayo (38')
Bell (8'), Cornick (60'), Jerome (66'), Adebayo (68'), Burke (73')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Luton
5-0
Coventry
Adebayo (3' pen., 45+6'), Cornick (18', 58'), Berry (30')

Hamer (17'), Maatsen (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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