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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Luton Town

Coventry
3 - 2
Luton

Simms (59'), Torp (76'), Wright (90+2')
Kitching (13'), Sheaf (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Morris (15' pen.), Adebayo (37')
Doughty (17'), Morris (18'), McGuinness (22'), Holmes (54')
Holmes (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Coventry
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Sunderland
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-1 Luton Town

Following a frustrating share of the point at Loftus Road, Coventry will be looking to take advantage of a winnable home fixture on Saturday ahead of trips to Sunderland and Middlesbrough over the next few weeks. The Hatters were unfortunate to lose to the Black Cats last time out and should be good enough to earn a point in the East Midlands this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
51.79% (-0.262 -0.26) 23.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 24.78% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 56.67% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (0.20099999999999 0.2)44.2% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.42% (0.195 0.2)66.58% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)17.1% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)47.3% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (0.31699999999999 0.32)31.64% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (0.365 0.36)68.05% (-0.369 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 51.79%
    Luton Town 24.78%
    Draw 23.42%
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 51.79%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 24.78%

How you voted: Coventry vs Luton

Coventry City
28.2%
Draw
33.3%
Luton Town
38.5%
39
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 4.45pm
Coventry
1-1
Luton
(Aggregate 1-1 | Luton win 6-5 on penalties)
Hamer (66')
McNally (46')
Clark (23')
Clark (99')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Coventry
1-1
Luton
Godden (45+1' pen.)
Lockyer (1')
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Luton
2-2
Coventry
Morris (4', 15')
Gyokeres (11'), Hamer (61')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Coventry
0-1
Luton

Allen (34'), Clarke-Salter (45+1'), McFadzean (87')
Adebayo (38')
Bell (8'), Cornick (60'), Jerome (66'), Adebayo (68'), Burke (73')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Luton
5-0
Coventry
Adebayo (3' pen., 45+6'), Cornick (18', 58'), Berry (30')

Hamer (17'), Maatsen (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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