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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Luton Town |
41.67% ( -0.19) | 24.65% ( 0.05) | 33.68% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 58.46% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.48% ( -0.17) | 44.52% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.11% ( -0.16) | 66.88% ( 0.16) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.59% ( -0.16) | 21.41% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.59% ( -0.25) | 54.4% ( 0.25) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.38% ( 0.01) | 25.61% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.5% ( 0.01) | 60.5% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Luton Town |
2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 41.67% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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