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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Luton Town

Coventry
1 - 1
Luton

Godden (45+1' pen.)
Wilson-Esbrand (80'), McFadzean (86')
Wilson-Esbrand (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lockyer (1')
Burke (44'), Osho (45'), Bell (64'), Morris (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Coventry City 1-1 Luton Town

Having been stunned by Grimsby in the FA Cup, Luton's season could now go several ways. For now, though, Edwards will want to steady the ship, and we feel that the visitors will be more than content with a point if it becomes a possibility on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
36.74% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 35.26% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.77% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.72% (0.040000000000006 0.04)58.28% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.09% (0.030999999999999 0.03)78.91% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (0.060000000000002 0.06)30.42% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38% (0.070999999999998 0.07)66.62% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)31.35% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)67.72% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 36.74%
    Luton Town 35.26%
    Draw 28%
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 36.74%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.54% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 11.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.26%

How you voted: Coventry vs Luton

Coventry City
0.0%
Draw
50.0%
Luton Town
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Luton
2-2
Coventry
Morris (4', 15')
Onyedinma (31')
Gyokeres (11'), Hamer (61')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Coventry
0-1
Luton

Allen (34'), Clarke-Salter (45+1'), McFadzean (87')
Adebayo (38')
Bell (8'), Cornick (60'), Jerome (66'), Adebayo (68'), Burke (73')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Luton
5-0
Coventry
Adebayo (3' pen., 45+6'), Cornick (18', 58'), Berry (30')

Hamer (17'), Maatsen (62')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Luton
2-0
Coventry
Bree (23'), Adebayo (42' pen.)
Nombe (82'), Pearson (90+2')

McFadzean (41')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Coventry
0-0
Luton

O'Hare (38'), Hamer (41'), Kelly (46')

Berry (28'), Potts (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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