Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.