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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Norwich logo

Coventry
2 - 4
Norwich

Allen (20'), Palmer (26')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Rose (6' og.), Hernandez (10'), Sargent (18'), Dowell (65')
Aarons (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-3 Norwich City

Coventry are down to bare bones in terms of squad depth due to injuries, and that reality is showing as the Sky Blues slide down the Championship table. Norwich displayed what they are capable of doing at this level on a regular basis in their demolition of Preston last weekend, and Wagner should be confident of securing his second win at the helm on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawNorwich City
33.26% (-0.241 -0.24) 26.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 40.4% (0.266 0.27)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (0.052 0.05)52.02% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (0.044 0.04)73.75% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)29.51% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.159 -0.16)65.53% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.164 0.16)25.35% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (0.224 0.22)60.13% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 33.26%
    Norwich City 40.39%
    Draw 26.33%
Coventry CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.26%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.05% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.39%

How you voted: Coventry vs Norwich

Coventry City
6.7%
Draw
10.0%
Norwich City
83.3%
30
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Norwich
3-0
Coventry
Pukki (14'), Sargent (45+1'), Dowell (81')
Byram (45')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Coventry
0-2
Norwich

Da Costa (4')
Pukki (28'), Buendia (45+1')
Hanley (17'), Gibson (70'), Cantwell (84')
Jan 9, 2021 12pm
Third Round
Norwich
2-0
Coventry
McLean (6'), Hugill (7')
McLean (53'), Cantwell (66'), Hanley (87')

Hamer (63')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-1
Coventry
Vrancic (27' pen.)
Sorensen (55'), McAlear (90+2'), Aarons (90+2')
Biamou (89')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Round Two
Norwich
6-1
Coventry
Lafferty (25'), Canos (36', 80'), Martin (58'), Murphy (63'), Godfrey (86')
Thompson (42')
Lameiras (56' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Steelers
14-28
Ravens
FT
Broncos
7-31
Bills
9.30pm
Packers
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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