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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Coventry City

Burnley
1 - 0
Coventry

Beyer (82')
Cork (11'), Taylor (59'), Tella (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Norton-Cuffy (50'), Dabo (79'), Wilson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burnley 2-0 Coventry City

Burnley edged past Coventry the last time that they locked horns earlier this season and another closely-fought contest is to be expected on Saturday. However, the Clarets will be regarded as favourites to come out on top again this weekend, with a routine win on the cards for Kompany's side at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawCoventry City
65.7% (0.12 0.12) 20.11% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 14.18% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.78% (0.010999999999996 0.01)45.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (0.009999999999998 0.01)67.56% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07% (0.038999999999987 0.04)12.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.62% (0.079999999999998 0.08)39.37% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.27% (-0.111 -0.11)43.72% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.1% (-0.093 -0.09)79.89% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 65.69%
    Coventry City 14.19%
    Draw 20.11%
BurnleyDrawCoventry City
2-0 @ 11.82% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.07% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.13% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.69% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 65.69%
1-1 @ 9.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.11%
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 14.19%

How you voted: Burnley vs Coventry

Burnley
86.7%
Draw
8.9%
Coventry City
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Oct 22, 2011 3pm
Coventry
1-2
Burnley
McDonald (59')
Bell (58'), Murphy (87'), Wood (90')
Bigirimana (81')
Wallace (73')
Rodriguez (32'), Bartley (53'), Wallace (67'), Edgar (79')
Mar 15, 2011 3pm
Burnley
2-2
Coventry
Rodriguez (18', 79')
Carlisle (81'), Elliott (82')
Jutkiewicz (61'), McSheffrey (75')
O'Halloran (36'), Baker (89')
Nov 20, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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