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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Watford logo

Norwich
0 - 1
Watford


Gibbs (18'), Hanley (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Issouf Bayo (86')
Ngakia (4'), Morris (49'), Sierralta (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Reading
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 4-0 Watford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Watford

Such has been each club's recent form that no-one would be surprised to see another defeat for either team. However, we feel that they may err on the side of caution, resulting in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawWatford
49.84% (-0.343 -0.34) 25.67% (0.061 0.06) 24.48% (0.28 0.28)
Both teams to score 49.33% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.74% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.77% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)75.22% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.155 -0.16)21.59% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (-0.234 -0.23)54.68% (0.231 0.23)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.91% (0.248 0.25)37.09% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.12% (0.246 0.25)73.87% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 49.84%
    Watford 24.48%
    Draw 25.67%
Norwich CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 49.84%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 24.48%

How you voted: Norwich vs Watford

Norwich City
46.6%
Draw
41.4%
Watford
12.1%
58
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 21, 2022 8pm
Watford
0-3
Norwich

Dennis (36')
Dennis (78')
Sargent (51', 74'), Kucka (90+2' og.)
McLean (38')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Norwich
1-3
Watford
Pukki (35')
Williams (90+5')
Dennis (17'), Sarr (63', 80')
Cathcart (37')
Apr 20, 2021 6pm
Dec 26, 2020 7.45pm
Watford
1-0
Norwich
Sarr (39')
Capoue (18'), Cleverley (63'), Sarr (78'), Hughes (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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