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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Watford logo

Norwich
0 - 1
Watford


Gibbs (18'), Hanley (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Issouf Bayo (86')
Ngakia (4'), Morris (49'), Sierralta (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Reading
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 4-0 Watford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Watford

Such has been each club's recent form that no-one would be surprised to see another defeat for either team. However, we feel that they may err on the side of caution, resulting in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawWatford
49.84% (-0.343 -0.34) 25.67% (0.061 0.06) 24.48% (0.28 0.28)
Both teams to score 49.33% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.74% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.77% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)75.22% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.155 -0.16)21.59% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (-0.234 -0.23)54.68% (0.231 0.23)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.91% (0.248 0.25)37.09% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.12% (0.246 0.25)73.87% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 49.84%
    Watford 24.48%
    Draw 25.67%
Norwich CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 49.84%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 24.48%

How you voted: Norwich vs Watford

Norwich City
Draw
Watford
Norwich City
46.6%
Draw
41.4%
Watford
12.1%
58
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 21, 2022 8pm
Watford
0-3
Norwich

Dennis (36')
Dennis (78')
Sargent (51', 74'), Kucka (90+2' og.)
McLean (38')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Norwich
1-3
Watford
Pukki (35')
Williams (90+5')
Dennis (17'), Sarr (63', 80')
Cathcart (37')
Apr 20, 2021 6pm
Dec 26, 2020 7.45pm
Watford
1-0
Norwich
Sarr (39')
Capoue (18'), Cleverley (63'), Sarr (78'), Hughes (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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