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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Watford logo

Norwich
0 - 1
Watford


Gibbs (18'), Hanley (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Issouf Bayo (86')
Ngakia (4'), Morris (49'), Sierralta (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Reading
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 4-0 Watford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Watford

Such has been each club's recent form that no-one would be surprised to see another defeat for either team. However, we feel that they may err on the side of caution, resulting in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawWatford
49.84% (-0.343 -0.34) 25.67% (0.061 0.06) 24.48% (0.28 0.28)
Both teams to score 49.33% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.74% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.77% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)75.22% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.155 -0.16)21.59% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (-0.234 -0.23)54.68% (0.231 0.23)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.91% (0.248 0.25)37.09% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.12% (0.246 0.25)73.87% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 49.84%
    Watford 24.48%
    Draw 25.67%
Norwich CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 49.84%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 24.48%

How you voted: Norwich vs Watford

Norwich City
46.6%
Draw
41.4%
Watford
12.1%
58
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 21, 2022 8pm
Watford
0-3
Norwich

Dennis (36')
Dennis (78')
Sargent (51', 74'), Kucka (90+2' og.)
McLean (38')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Norwich
1-3
Watford
Pukki (35')
Williams (90+5')
Dennis (17'), Sarr (63', 80')
Cathcart (37')
Apr 20, 2021 6pm
Dec 26, 2020 7.45pm
Watford
1-0
Norwich
Sarr (39')
Capoue (18'), Cleverley (63'), Sarr (78'), Hughes (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley126511751223
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
8Bristol City134721717019
9Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
10Middlesbrough135351415-118
11Millwall124441512316
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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