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Stoke logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
West Brom logo

Stoke
2 - 1
West Brom

Griffiths (27' og.), Vidigal (65')
McNally (5'), Sidibe (45'), Travers (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thomas-Asante (64')
Pieters (31'), Bartley (66'), Gardner-Hickman (68'), Griffiths (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 4-1 Rotherham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 3-1 West Bromwich Albion

Stoke found their scoring boots against Rotherham on Saturday, and the Potters should be confident of making the net ripple against an Albion side who have struggled defensively since returning from their summer break. The Baggies have been poor away from home in 2023, and we do not expect a much-changed West Brom XI to progress into the second round of the EFL Cup at the bet365 Stadium on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
35.8% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 26.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 37.91% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 53.23% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)51.43% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (0.0040000000000049 0)27.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (0.0039999999999978 0)63.19% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.42% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)61.59% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 35.8%
    West Bromwich Albion 37.91%
    Draw 26.29%
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.8%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.47%
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.91%

How you voted: Stoke vs West Brom

Stoke City
70.0%
Draw
5.0%
West Bromwich Albion
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
1-2
West Brom
Brown (30')
Molumby (59', 69')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
West Brom
1-3
Stoke
Robinson (73')
Livermore (16' og.), Brown (59'), Baker (90+4')
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Stoke
1-0
West Brom
Powell (79')
Davies (75'), Surridge (90+5')

Livermore (51'), Johnstone (90+5')
Jan 20, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 28
West Brom
0-1
Stoke

Bartley (45')
Campbell (9')
Lindsay (28'), Allen (45'), Smith (91')
rhs 2.0
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5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
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8Chelsea34149116559651
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14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
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19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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