MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:38:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Watford logo

Leicester
2 - 0
Watford

Vardy (76', 90+5' pen.)
Ndidi (62'), Vardy (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Louza (30'), Ismael (31'), Porteous (54'), Chakvetadze (72'), Kayembe (75'), Bachmann (83'), Asprilla (90')
Bachmann (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Leicester
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-1 Watford

With a bit of doubt creeping in at Leicester, Ismael and Watford will sense an opportunity. However, we feel that the home side can only have benefitted from the November international break, leading us to predict a hard-fought triumph for the Foxes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawWatford
50.26% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 25.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 24.57% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (-0.101 -0.1)51.74% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.087 -0.09)73.51% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)20.6% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)53.14% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)35.91% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.31% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)72.69% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 50.25%
    Watford 24.57%
    Draw 25.16%
Leicester CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 11.68% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.25%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.57%

How you voted: Leicester vs Watford

Leicester City
90.3%
Draw
6.5%
Watford
3.2%
31
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
1-5
Leicester
Pedro (6')
Maddison (18'), Vardy (22', 70'), Barnes (46', 86')
Tielemans (55')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Leicester
4-1
Watford
Tielemans (7' pen.), Maddison (25'), Barnes (54'), Albrighton (85')
Daley-Campbell (36')
Pedro (27')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')
King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
Dec 4, 2019 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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