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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Leicester logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Leicester

Greenwood (83')
Crooks (42'), Howson (85'), Jones (88'), Rogers (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vestergaard (12'), Winks (43'), Choudhury (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Leeds
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-2 Leicester City

Middlesbrough have struggled defensively since returning from October's international break, and the visit of the division's most-potent attack will ask plenty of questions of the Boro backline. Leicester were unable to breach a stubborn Leeds side after the Whites went ahead at the King Power, but Maresca's men should fare well against a Middlesbrough team who like to take risks offensively. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLeicester City
36.69% (0.928 0.93) 23.88% (0.246 0.25) 39.43% (-1.177 -1.18)
Both teams to score 61.87% (-0.799 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-1.088 -1.09)40.32% (1.084 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.3% (-1.131 -1.13)62.7% (1.126 1.13)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)22.01% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.33% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33% (-1.011 -1.01)20.66% (1.006 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.75% (-1.614 -1.61)53.25% (1.61 1.61)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 36.69%
    Leicester City 39.43%
    Draw 23.88%
MiddlesbroughDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.336 0.34)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.252 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.127 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.69%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.224 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 39.43%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Leicester

Middlesbrough
11.4%
Draw
4.5%
Leicester City
84.1%
44
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2017 12.30pm
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Leicester
2-2
Middlesbrough
Mahrez (35' pen.), Slimani (94' pen.)
Albrighton (29'), Fuchs (37'), Amartey (51'), Vardy (65')
Negredo (13', 71')
Chambers (31'), Negredo (34'), Valdes (91'), de Roon (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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