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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
50.96% ( -0.02) | 24.46% | 24.58% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.16% ( 0.02) | 48.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.07% ( 0.02) | 70.93% ( -0.02) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.83% ( -0) | 19.17% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.17% | 50.83% ( 0) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.68% ( 0.03) | 34.32% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.98% ( 0.03) | 71.02% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.04% 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 24.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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