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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Swansea
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Piroe (15')
Latibeaudiere (58'), Darling (73'), Fulton (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Ramsey (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-0 Reading
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Middlesbrough

 Martin knows that another win needs to be recorded sooner rather than later, and his team may relish the tag of underdogs for this contest. Nevertheless, Middlesbrough have been the clear stand-out team in front of goal since Carrick's appointment, and we expect that to continue on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
36.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 38.94% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.26% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.111 0.11)43.71% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.111 0.11)66.1% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (0.049999999999997 0.05)23.66% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24% (0.07 0.07)57.76% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (0.061999999999998 0.06)22.38% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (0.093999999999994 0.09)55.88% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 36.48%
    Middlesbrough 38.94%
    Draw 24.57%
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 38.94%

How you voted: Swansea vs Middlesbrough

Swansea City
9.4%
Draw
9.4%
Middlesbrough
81.3%
32
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Swansea
1-1
Middlesbrough
Obafemi (48')
Wolf (84'), Christie (87')
McGree (46')
Bamba (82')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Middlesbrough
1-0
Swansea
Jones (26')
McNair (70')

Paterson (45')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Middlesbrough
Ayew (40', 90+7' pen.)
Manning (64'), Guehi (71')
Morsy (90+1')
Bolasie (39'), Saville (47'), Morsy (87'), Howson (90+5')
> Match Report
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
Watmore (26', 67')
Johnson (45'), Akpom (57')
Dhanda (78')
Fulton (45+1'), Grimes (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138
> Championship Full Table


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