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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Swansea
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Piroe (15')
Latibeaudiere (58'), Darling (73'), Fulton (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Ramsey (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-0 Reading
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Middlesbrough

Martin knows that another win needs to be recorded sooner rather than later, and his team may relish the tag of underdogs for this contest. Nevertheless, Middlesbrough have been the clear stand-out team in front of goal since Carrick's appointment, and we expect that to continue on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
36.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 38.94% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.26% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.111 0.11)43.71% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.111 0.11)66.1% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (0.049999999999997 0.05)23.66% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24% (0.07 0.07)57.76% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (0.061999999999998 0.06)22.38% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (0.093999999999994 0.09)55.88% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 36.48%
    Middlesbrough 38.94%
    Draw 24.57%
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 38.94%

How you voted: Swansea vs Middlesbrough

Swansea City
9.4%
Draw
9.4%
Middlesbrough
81.3%
32
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Middlesbrough
Ayew (40', 90+7' pen.)
Manning (64'), Guehi (71')
Morsy (90+1')
Bolasie (39'), Saville (47'), Morsy (87'), Howson (90+5')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
Watmore (26', 67')
Johnson (45'), Akpom (57')
Dhanda (78')
Fulton (45+1'), Grimes (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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