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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Middlesbrough logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Szmodics (31', 49')
Carter (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Crooks (55')
Lenihan (40'), Hackney (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Middlesbrough

With Carrick having had some prolonged time on the training pitch, he will hope that Boro return to action with more confidence than they entered the international break. Nevertheless, Blackburn appear more capable of winning this fixture, albeit in what should prove to be a competitive game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
35.08% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 25.37% (0.0010000000000012 0) 39.56% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.26% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.31% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)23.75% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)57.89% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 35.08%
    Middlesbrough 39.56%
    Draw 25.36%
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 35.08%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 39.56%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers
61.8%
Draw
29.4%
Middlesbrough
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Blackburn
1-2
Middlesbrough
Hedges (5')
Forss (46'), McGree (56')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
1-2
Blackburn
Watmore (45+1')
Lenihan (4' og.), Gallagher (17')
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Blackburn
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gallagher (76')
Nyambe (37'), Travis (50'), Wharton (90'), Edun (90+11')

Taylor (4'), Crooks (15'), Connolly (26'), Tavernier (29'), McNair (90+3'), Jones (90+9')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Middlesbrough
1-1
Blackburn
Howson (36')
Olusanya (87')
Morsy (81')
Gallagher (17')
Carter (19'), Travis (87'), Dolan (90+4')
Carter (79')
Jan 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 26
Middlesbrough
0-1
Blackburn

Morsy (57'), Tavernier (81'), Bola (88')
Rothwell (63')
Davenport (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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