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Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2020 at 7pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Derby logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 0
Derby

Assombalonga (33'), Clarke (71' og.), Johnson (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jozwiak (9'), Lawrence (49'), Byrne (53'), Buchanan (65')

The Match

Match Report

Boro recorded their biggest victory under boss Neil Warnock.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawDerby County
42.78%27.21%30.02%
Both teams to score 48.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63%56.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61%77.39%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92%26.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87%61.13%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01%33.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33%70.67%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 42.77%
    Derby County 30.02%
    Draw 27.2%
MiddlesbroughDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 9.57%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 30.02%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Derby
2-0
Middlesbrough
Lawrence (22', 84')

McNair (15')
Saville (32')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Derby
1-1
Middlesbrough
Wilson (2')
Hugill (52')
Saville (45'), Besic (73')
Oct 27, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
1-1
Derby
Bogle (84' og.)
Ayala (90')
Friend (19' og.)
Waghorn (33')
Apr 21, 2018 3pm
Derby
1-2
Middlesbrough
Nugent (90' pen.)
Nugent (16'), Huddlestone (36'), Hanson (85')
Besic (20'), Assombalonga (70')
Clayton (1'), Traore (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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