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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Coventry City

Norwich
2 - 1
Coventry

Sargent (60'), Sainz (84')
Nunez (22'), McLean (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
O'Hare (48')
Kitching (36'), Thomas (90+7')
Kitching (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Coventry City

With Coventry building a head of steam, there is an argument that the Sky Blues are favourites to prevail. However, Norwich deserve credit for hanging about in the playoff race, and we feel that they will do enough to earn a share of the spoils in a competitive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
36.82% (0.595 0.59) 25.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 37.82% (-0.637 -0.64)
Both teams to score 56.46% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (-0.156 -0.16)47.33% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.145 -0.15)69.55% (0.143 0.14)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (0.261 0.26)25.13% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.16% (0.361 0.36)59.84% (-0.361 -0.36)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (-0.411 -0.41)24.59% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)59.08% (0.57700000000001 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 36.82%
    Coventry City 37.82%
    Draw 25.36%
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.118 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 36.82%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 37.82%

How you voted: Norwich vs Coventry

Norwich City
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Coventry City
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Coventry
1-1
Norwich
Gibson (88' og.)
Ayari (90+1')
Rowe (40')
Rowe (74')
Jan 21, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Coventry
2-4
Norwich
Allen (20'), Palmer (26')
Rose (6' og.), Hernandez (10'), Sargent (18'), Dowell (65')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Norwich
3-0
Coventry
Pukki (14'), Sargent (45+1'), Dowell (81')
Byram (45')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 30
Coventry
0-2
Norwich

Da Costa (4')
Pukki (28'), Buendia (45+1')
Hanley (17'), Gibson (70'), Cantwell (84')
Jan 9, 2021 12pm
Third Round
Norwich
2-0
Coventry
McLean (6'), Hugill (7')
McLean (53'), Cantwell (66'), Hanley (87')

Hamer (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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