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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
2 - 0
Stoke

Louza (70'), Davis (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pearson (51'), Tymon (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Watford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 QPR
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Stoke City

There should not be much between two sides who have underperformed this season in a game with nothing riding on it to finish the campaign. Watford's poor recent results at home may give Stoke belief that they can extend their away unbeaten run here, though. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
36.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 26.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 36.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.15% (0.013000000000005 0.01)53.85% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.31% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28.46% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.019000000000005 0.02)64.22% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)28.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 36.38%
    Stoke City 36.73%
    Draw 26.87%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.38%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.73%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Stoke City
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
gameweek 12
Stoke
0-4
Watford

Fosu (14')
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
gameweek 10
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford

Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')

Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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