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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
2 - 0
Stoke

Louza (70'), Davis (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pearson (51'), Tymon (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Watford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 QPR
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Stoke City

There should not be much between two sides who have underperformed this season in a game with nothing riding on it to finish the campaign. Watford's poor recent results at home may give Stoke belief that they can extend their away unbeaten run here, though. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
36.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 26.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 36.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.15% (0.013000000000005 0.01)53.85% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.31% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28.46% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.019000000000005 0.02)64.22% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)28.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 36.38%
    Stoke City 36.73%
    Draw 26.87%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.38%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.73%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Stoke City
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
gameweek 12
Stoke
0-4
Watford

Fosu (14')
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
gameweek 10
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford

Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')

Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley126511751223
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
8Bristol City134721717019
9Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
10Middlesbrough135351415-118
11Millwall124441512316
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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