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Championship | Gameweek 46
Jul 22, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
City Ground
Stoke logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 4
Stoke

FT(HT: 0-1)
Batth (19'), McClean (73'), Gregory (78'), da Costa (90+6' og.)
Cousins (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

A 4-1 home loss was agony for Sabri Lamouchi's team.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship game between Nottingham Forest and Stoke City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawStoke City
40.67%26.71%32.63%
Both teams to score 51.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36%53.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.86%75.14%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.06%25.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.05%60.95%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26%30.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33%67%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 40.67%
    Stoke City 32.63%
    Draw 26.7%
Nottingham ForestDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 7.26%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 40.67%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.41%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.63%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
2-3
Nott'm Forest
Gregory (10'), McClean (84')
Lolley (36'), Ameobi (47'), Grabban (61')
Lolley (20'), Dawson (23'), Sow (38'), Watson (70')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
Stoke
2-0
Nott'm Forest
Etebo (15'), Afobe (74')
McClean (87'), Adam (94')

Robinson (61'), Benalouane (85')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Sep 26, 2018 7.45pm
Third Round
Nott'm Forest
3-2
Stoke
Osborn (19'), Murphy (40'), Lolley (50')
Lolley (63'), Fox (90')
Goncalves (77')
Afobe (60'), Berahino (83')
Crouch (53'), Adam (65')
Jan 1, 2005 3pm
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Stoke
Bopp (68')
Morgan (32'), Rogers (37')

Asaba (15'), Greenacre (19'), Hill (85')
Hill (85'), Clarke (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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