MX23RW : Tuesday, February 4 01:51:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Swansea logo

Plymouth
1 - 2
Swansea

Bundu (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fulton (44'), Cullen (60')
Key (20'), Peart-Harris (90+3'), Vipotnik (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 4-0 Plymouth
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, December 7 at 3.15pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 0-2 Swansea City

Plymouth are in dreadful form heading into this game, while Swansea will be boosted by their recent performances and results, leading us to believe the visitors will win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swansea City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSwansea City
29.59% (0.155 0.16) 23.83% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 46.57% (-0.185 -0.19)
Both teams to score 59.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.55% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)42.44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.15% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)64.85% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (0.078999999999994 0.08)27.17% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (0.103 0.1)62.57% (-0.104 -0.1)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)18.43% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (-0.158 -0.16)49.6% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 29.59%
    Swansea City 46.57%
    Draw 23.83%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.53% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.59%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.01% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.26% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.04% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 46.57%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Swansea

Plymouth Argyle
32.1%
Draw
11.3%
Swansea City
56.6%
53
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swansea
0-1
Plymouth

Cabango (22'), Cooper (71')
Whittaker (18')
Hazard (71'), Gyabi (76'), Miller (82')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Plymouth
1-3
Swansea
Cundle (18')
Whittaker (55'), Kesler (79')
Yates (56'), Cooper (68'), Key (90')
Jul 12, 2022 7.30pm
Club Friendlies
Plymouth
1-1
Swansea
Hardie (89')
Piroe (6')
Aug 24, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Swansea
4-1
Plymouth
Williams (29'), Whittaker (79', 86', 90')
Manning (39'), Bennett (51')
Shirley (63')
Jul 20, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
1-2
Swansea
Hardie (47')
Whittaker (23'), Naughton (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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