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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Coventry City |
31.33% ( 0.22) | 22.79% ( 0.26) | 45.87% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 64.23% ( -0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.46% ( -1.2) | 36.54% ( 1.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.31% ( -1.32) | 58.69% ( 1.32) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.84% ( -0.46) | 23.16% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.96% ( -0.68) | 57.04% ( 0.68) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.6% ( -0.64) | 16.4% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.95% ( -1.17) | 46.05% ( 1.17) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Coventry City |
2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.33% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.53% Total : 45.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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