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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.26%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
56.26% ( 0.05) | 21.84% ( -0.12) | 21.9% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 58.5% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% ( 0.64) | 40.12% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.51% ( 0.65) | 62.49% ( -0.65) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.86% ( 0.23) | 14.14% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.2% ( 0.45) | 41.79% ( -0.45) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.13% ( 0.42) | 31.87% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% ( 0.48) | 68.31% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 56.26% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 21.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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