MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 09:10:41| >> :600:1062380:1062380:
Leeds logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Plymouth Argyle

Leeds
1 - 1
Plymouth

Anthony (31')
Anthony (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Randell (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Leeds United and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Norwich
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Plymouth Argyle

While changes are expected from both sides, that should only add to the uncertainty of who prevails at Elland Road. Plymouth will back themselves to at least earn a replay, but Leeds should still have enough quality to come through regardless of the team that they select. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 68.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 13.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawPlymouth Argyle
68.52% (0.624 0.62) 17.84% (-0.25 -0.25) 13.64% (-0.372 -0.37)
Both teams to score 55.56% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.12% (0.327 0.33)35.88% (-0.325 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.03% (0.36000000000001 0.36)57.97% (-0.358 -0.36)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.47% (0.23699999999999 0.24)9.53% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.07% (0.55 0.55)31.93% (-0.548 -0.55)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41% (-0.312 -0.31)38.59% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.67% (-0.299 -0.3)75.33% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 68.52%
    Plymouth Argyle 13.64%
    Draw 17.84%
Leeds UnitedDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 10.16% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.96% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.58% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.68% (0.118 0.12)
4-1 @ 4.46% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.2% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.057 0.06)
5-2 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 68.52%
1-1 @ 8.23% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.84%
1-2 @ 3.92% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-1 @ 3.5% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.67% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 13.64%

How you voted: Leeds vs Plymouth

Leeds United
73.7%
Draw
21.1%
Plymouth Argyle
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Leeds
2-1
Plymouth
James (21'), Piroe (28')
Gruev (90+3')
Waine (84')
Randell (33'), Whittaker (61'), Edwards (66'), Gibson (89')
Apr 7, 2007 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Plymouth
Michalik (87'), Healy (45')
Gray (73')
Halmosi (36')
Timar (49')
Nov 25, 2006 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Leeds
Djordjic (40')
Aljofree (23'), Seip (33'), Hayles (82'), Ebanks-Blake (83')
Lewis (61'), Blake (3')
Westlake (32'), Douglas (70')
Apr 8, 2006 3pm
Jan 2, 2006 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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