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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Den
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Millwall
0 - 3
Leeds

FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Leeds United

 With both teams having improved in recent matches, this should prove to be a competitive contest, one that the home side will fancy their chances of winning. However, despite Leeds remaining in a transitional period under Farke, we expect their greater firepower to come through at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawLeeds United
40.68% (-0.518 -0.52) 27.06% (0.894 0.89) 32.26% (-0.372 -0.37)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-2.908 -2.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (-3.667 -3.67)55.12% (3.668 3.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (-3.109 -3.11)76.37% (3.112 3.11)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (-1.944 -1.94)26.62% (1.946 1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15% (-2.647 -2.65)61.85% (2.649 2.65)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-2.098 -2.1)31.74% (2.099 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-2.477 -2.48)68.17% (2.479 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 40.68%
    Leeds United 32.26%
    Draw 27.06%
MillwallDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.95 0.95)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.316 -0.32)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.32 -0.32)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.68%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.39 0.39)
0-0 @ 8.45% (1.136 1.14)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.803 0.8)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.156 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.282 -0.28)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.26%

How you voted: Millwall vs Leeds

Millwall
27.6%
Draw
20.7%
Leeds United
51.7%
29
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
> Match Report
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Millwall
2-1
Leeds
> Match Report
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
> Match Report
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Millwall
1-1
Leeds
Wallace (55')
Wallace (59')
Harrison (89')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Leeds
3-4
Millwall
Lasogga (46', 62'), Roofe (55')
Jansson (41'), Alioski (58'), Phillips (86')
Cooper (37')
O'Brien (18'), Gregory (42'), Elliott (87'), Wallace (90')
Hutchinson (51'), Elliott (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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