Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Den
Millwall0 - 3Leeds
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 1-2 Leeds United
With both teams having improved in recent matches, this should prove to be a competitive contest, one that the home side will fancy their chances of winning. However, despite Leeds remaining in a transitional period under Farke, we expect their greater firepower to come through at The Den. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
40.68% ( -0.52) | 27.06% ( 0.89) | 32.26% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( -2.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.87% ( -3.67) | 55.12% ( 3.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.62% ( -3.11) | 76.37% ( 3.11) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( -1.94) | 26.62% ( 1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.15% ( -2.65) | 61.85% ( 2.65) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% ( -2.1) | 31.74% ( 2.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.83% ( -2.48) | 68.17% ( 2.48) |
| Score Analysis |
Millwall 40.68%
Leeds United 32.26%
Draw 27.06%
| Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.95) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.32)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.68% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 1.14)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.42)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.28)Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.26% |
How you voted: Millwall vs Leeds
Millwall
27.6%Draw
20.7%Leeds United
51.7%29
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Millwall
2-1
Leeds
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Form Guide
