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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Den
Leeds logo

Millwall
0 - 3
Leeds

FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Leeds United

 With both teams having improved in recent matches, this should prove to be a competitive contest, one that the home side will fancy their chances of winning. However, despite Leeds remaining in a transitional period under Farke, we expect their greater firepower to come through at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawLeeds United
40.68% (-0.518 -0.52) 27.06% (0.894 0.89) 32.26% (-0.372 -0.37)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-2.908 -2.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (-3.667 -3.67)55.12% (3.668 3.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (-3.109 -3.11)76.37% (3.112 3.11)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (-1.944 -1.94)26.62% (1.946 1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15% (-2.647 -2.65)61.85% (2.649 2.65)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-2.098 -2.1)31.74% (2.099 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-2.477 -2.48)68.17% (2.479 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 40.68%
    Leeds United 32.26%
    Draw 27.06%
MillwallDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.95 0.95)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.316 -0.32)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.32 -0.32)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.68%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.39 0.39)
0-0 @ 8.45% (1.136 1.14)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.803 0.8)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.156 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.282 -0.28)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.26%

How you voted: Millwall vs Leeds

Millwall
27.6%
Draw
20.7%
Leeds United
51.7%
29
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
> Match Report
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Millwall
2-1
Leeds
> Match Report
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
> Match Report
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Millwall
1-1
Leeds
Wallace (55')
Wallace (59')
Harrison (89')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Leeds
3-4
Millwall
Lasogga (46', 62'), Roofe (55')
Jansson (41'), Alioski (58'), Phillips (86')
Cooper (37')
O'Brien (18'), Gregory (42'), Elliott (87'), Wallace (90')
Hutchinson (51'), Elliott (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds24156344152951
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd24156333141949
3Burnley2413923092148
4Sunderland24128436211544
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2311572721638
6Middlesbrough24107741311037
7Watford2311483331237
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2481242819936
9Swansea CitySwansea249692925433
10Bristol City248973028233
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds249693236-433
12Norwich CityNorwich247984036430
13Millwall237882220229
14Preston North EndPreston2461172630-429
15Coventry CityCoventry2477103234-228
16Derby CountyDerby2476112930-127
17Queens Park RangersQPR2451182432-826
18Stoke CityStoke2467112432-825
19Luton TownLuton2474132641-1525
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2366112639-1324
21Hull City2457122232-1022
22Cardiff CityCardiff2356122338-1521
23Portsmouth2248102640-1420
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2346132251-2918
> Championship Full Table


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