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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.93%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Middlesbrough |
22.17% ( 0.02) | 20.89% ( -0.09) | 56.93% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 62.32% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.72% ( 0.43) | 35.27% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.7% ( 0.48) | 57.29% ( -0.49) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% ( 0.26) | 28.9% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.22% ( 0.32) | 64.77% ( -0.33) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.65% ( 0.16) | 12.34% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.83% ( 0.33) | 38.16% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.24% Total : 22.17% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.89% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.54% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 56.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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