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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Blackburn logo

Stoke
3 - 2
Blackburn

Hoever (24', 43'), Campbell (75')
Sterling (69'), Brown (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Brereton Diaz (86'), Gallagher (90')
Morton (74'), Brereton Diaz (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Despite the difference in league positions, this should be a competitive match between two sides producing some of their best form this season. However, with Stoke possessing a poor home record, we are backing Blackburn to come through in a tight contest, potentially by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
49.04% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27) 25.97% (0.115 0.11) 24.99% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (-0.32400000000001 -0.32)54.49% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14% (-0.27 -0.27)75.85% (0.268 0.27)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74% (-0.254 -0.25)22.25% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (-0.382 -0.38)55.69% (0.381 0.38)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.95% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)37.05% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.16% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)73.84% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.03%
    Blackburn Rovers 24.99%
    Draw 25.97%
Stoke CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 12.38% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.31% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.99%

How you voted: Stoke vs Blackburn

Stoke City
25.5%
Draw
14.8%
Blackburn Rovers
59.7%
149
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Rankin-Costello (10'), Travis (41'), Famiwuya (59')
Baker (27')
Gayle (57'), Fosu (84'), Baker (90+6')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Stoke
0-1
Blackburn

Brown (60'), Davies (74'), Chester (75'), Wilmot (90')
Khadra (52')
Dolan (74'), Nyambe (81'), Pickering (89'), Brereton Diaz (90+1')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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