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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Bristol City |
60.77% | 22.7% | 16.53% |
Both teams to score 46.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.44% | 51.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.65% | 73.35% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.45% | 16.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.67% | 46.33% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.64% | 44.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.58% | 80.42% |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 13.2% 2-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 5.79% 4-0 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.35% 5-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.82% Total : 60.76% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.7% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.97% 1-2 @ 4.36% 0-2 @ 2.43% 1-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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