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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Bristol City |
49.89% ( 1.77) | 24.95% ( -0.47) | 25.15% ( -1.31) |
Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.61% ( 0.9) | 50.38% ( -0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.68% ( 0.79) | 72.32% ( -0.79) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.79% ( 1.12) | 20.21% ( -1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.48% ( 1.76) | 52.52% ( -1.76) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.33% ( -0.61) | 34.67% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.6% ( -0.65) | 71.39% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Burnley | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 23 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 22 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Watford | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
11 | Bristol City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
15 | Hull City | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Coventry CityCoventry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 12 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
24 | Portsmouth | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 8 |
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