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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bristol City

Swansea
2 - 0
Bristol City

Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Manning (82'), Piroe (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wells (74'), Sykes (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Bristol City

Such is the increasing pressure on Swansea that Bristol City will fancy their chances of inflicting another defeat on their hosts. Nevertheless, even with the Robins in a position where they need to push for maximum points, we expect Swansea to do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
49.89% (1.773 1.77) 24.95% (-0.465 -0.47) 25.15% (-1.311 -1.31)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.251 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (0.901 0.9)50.38% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68% (0.792 0.79)72.32% (-0.794 -0.79)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (1.116 1.12)20.21% (-1.119 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (1.757 1.76)52.52% (-1.761 -1.76)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.61 -0.61)34.67% (0.607 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (-0.651 -0.65)71.39% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 49.89%
    Bristol City 25.15%
    Draw 24.94%
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.149 0.15)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.285 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.247 0.25)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.308 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.163 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.183 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 49.89%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.283 -0.28)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 25.15%

How you voted: Swansea vs Bristol City

Swansea City
48.1%
Draw
22.2%
Bristol City
29.6%
27
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Wood (90+4'), Cundle (94'), Latibeaudiere (120+2')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
Pring (75'), Semenyo (120+2')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Semenyo (75')
Naismith (39'), Pring (84')
Piroe (15')
Allen (45+3'), Wood (62'), Darling (69')
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Swansea
3-1
Bristol City
Obafemi (54'), Christie (79'), Piroe (90+4')
Obafemi (56'), Christie (90+2')
Weimann (42')
Klose (59'), Dasilva (69'), Semenyo (86'), Martin (90+2'), Williams (90+4')
Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
0-1
Swansea

Simpson (36'), Weimann (58'), Atkinson (76'), Semenyo (84')
Piroe (19')
Fulton (17'), Piroe (35'), Manning (47'), Bidwell (57'), Latibeaudiere (67'), Grimes (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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