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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bristol City

Swansea
2 - 0
Bristol City

Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Manning (82'), Piroe (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wells (74'), Sykes (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

Bristol City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Bristol City

 Such is the increasing pressure on Swansea that Bristol City will fancy their chances of inflicting another defeat on their hosts. Nevertheless, even with the Robins in a position where they need to push for maximum points, we expect Swansea to do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
49.89% (1.773 1.77) 24.95% (-0.465 -0.47) 25.15% (-1.311 -1.31)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.251 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (0.901 0.9)50.38% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68% (0.792 0.79)72.32% (-0.794 -0.79)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (1.116 1.12)20.21% (-1.119 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (1.757 1.76)52.52% (-1.761 -1.76)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.61 -0.61)34.67% (0.607 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (-0.651 -0.65)71.39% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 49.89%
    Bristol City 25.15%
    Draw 24.94%
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.149 0.15)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.285 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.247 0.25)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.308 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.163 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.183 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 49.89%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.283 -0.28)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 25.15%

How you voted: Swansea vs Bristol City

Swansea City
48.1%
Draw
22.2%
Bristol City
29.6%
27
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Wood (90+4'), Cundle (94'), Latibeaudiere (120+2')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
Pring (75'), Semenyo (120+2')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Semenyo (75')
Naismith (39'), Pring (84')
Piroe (15')
Allen (45+3'), Wood (62'), Darling (69')
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Conway (24')
Pring (90+4')
Ntcham (76')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Swansea
3-1
Bristol City
Obafemi (54'), Christie (79'), Piroe (90+4')
Obafemi (56'), Christie (90+2')
Weimann (42')
Klose (59'), Dasilva (69'), Semenyo (86'), Martin (90+2'), Williams (90+4')
Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
0-1
Swansea

Simpson (36'), Weimann (58'), Atkinson (76'), Semenyo (84')
Piroe (19')
Fulton (17'), Piroe (35'), Manning (47'), Bidwell (57'), Latibeaudiere (67'), Grimes (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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