MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 05:25:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
4 - 0
Watford

Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Grimes (9'), Darling (28'), Fulton (60'), Latibeaudiere (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kalu (69'), Bachmann (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-2 Millwall
Monday, December 26 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Watford

Swansea are severely lacking confidence given their recent form, and even away from home, the Hornets should have enough quality to condemn their hosts to another defeat and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
41.72% (-0.864 -0.86) 25.64% (-0.105 -0.11) 32.63% (0.967 0.97)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.7 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (0.749 0.75)49.23% (-0.749 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (0.67 0.67)71.29% (-0.673 -0.67)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)23.42% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58% (-0.142 -0.14)57.42% (0.141 0.14)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (1.005 1.01)28.54% (-1.006 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (1.242 1.24)64.33% (-1.244 -1.24)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.72%
    Watford 32.63%
    Draw 25.64%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 41.72%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.171 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.115 0.12)
1-4 @ 1% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.63%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
22.9%
Draw
17.1%
Watford
60.0%
70
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
Grimes (67')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
2-1
Swansea
Welbeck (28'), Pereyra (79')
Pereyra (91')
Surridge (34')
Grimes (93')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Carrillo (11')
Carrillo (30'), Doucoure (80'), Prodl (82'), Zeegelaar (89')
Ayew (86'), Narsingh (91')
Fernandez (3'), Carroll (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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