MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 08:28:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
4 - 0
Watford

Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Grimes (9'), Darling (28'), Fulton (60'), Latibeaudiere (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kalu (69'), Bachmann (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-2 Millwall
Monday, December 26 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Watford

Swansea are severely lacking confidence given their recent form, and even away from home, the Hornets should have enough quality to condemn their hosts to another defeat and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
41.72% (-0.864 -0.86) 25.64% (-0.105 -0.11) 32.63% (0.967 0.97)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.7 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (0.749 0.75)49.23% (-0.749 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (0.67 0.67)71.29% (-0.673 -0.67)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)23.42% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58% (-0.142 -0.14)57.42% (0.141 0.14)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (1.005 1.01)28.54% (-1.006 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (1.242 1.24)64.33% (-1.244 -1.24)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.72%
    Watford 32.63%
    Draw 25.64%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 41.72%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.171 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.115 0.12)
1-4 @ 1% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.63%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
22.9%
Draw
17.1%
Watford
60.0%
70
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
Grimes (67')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
2-1
Swansea
Welbeck (28'), Pereyra (79')
Pereyra (91')
Surridge (34')
Grimes (93')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Carrillo (11')
Carrillo (30'), Doucoure (80'), Prodl (82'), Zeegelaar (89')
Ayew (86'), Narsingh (91')
Fernandez (3'), Carroll (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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