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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Bristol City win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Southampton |
19.64% ( -0.21) | 21.36% ( 0.02) | 58.99% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 56.54% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.96% ( -0.39) | 41.04% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.57% ( -0.4) | 63.43% ( 0.4) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.44% ( -0.43) | 34.56% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.72% ( -0.46) | 71.28% ( 0.46) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.4% ( -0.07) | 13.59% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.27% ( -0.14) | 40.73% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.64% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.22% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 58.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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